Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 10:00 •
Estadio Ciudad de Alcalá
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.39)
0.41 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.4% | 15.6% | 5.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.7%
1 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Castilleja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Central | 0 | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Central | Castilleja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 9% | 45% |
| Defense | 91% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 18 | 3.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Central | Castilleja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 57% | 29% | 43% | 29% | 7% | 18% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
| Loses | 14% | 43% | 29% | 50% | 57% | 54% |
Form: Atlético Central: LWDWDDWWLLWWLWWWLWLWDDLDDLDW • Castilleja: DDLLLWLLLLDLDDWWDWLLDLLLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Central | Castilleja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 10 | 29 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 22 | 31 | 53 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Central | Castilleja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 46% | 50% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 21% | 25% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 14% | 4% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Central | Castilleja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Central | Castilleja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Central | Castilleja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-0 | 2-7 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Central | Castilleja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 95% | 5% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Atlético Central or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Central = 2.21 (league 1.39), Castilleja = 0.41 (league 1.02)
| Castilleja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Central | 0 | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.4% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 5.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1