Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:00 •
Polideportivo Municipal de Magaluf
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.60)
3.49 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.4% | 14.0% | 54.3% |
best score tips
1 - 3
6.2%
2 - 3
5.8%
1 - 4
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Mallorca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Platges Calvià | 0 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Mallorca II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 44% | 75% |
| Attack | 23% | 55% |
| Defense | 77% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Mallorca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Platges Calvià: LDW • Mallorca II: WWLW
League goals
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Mallorca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Platges Calvià | Mallorca II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 75% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Mallorca II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Mallorca II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Mallorca II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Mallorca II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Mallorca II and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Platges Calvià = 1.88 (league 1.60), Mallorca II = 3.49 (league 1.14)
| Mallorca II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Platges Calvià | 0 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 54.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1