Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.71) 1.05 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.1% 16.0% 12.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.8%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mercadal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peña Deportiva 0 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPeña DeportivaMercadal
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack100%86%
Defense57%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Peña Deportiva Mercadal
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%100%0%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%20%0%50%20%

Form: Peña Deportiva: WWLWW • Mercadal: WLWDW

League goals

Metric Peña Deportiva Mercadal
HATHAT
GF total639606
GF avg3.01.01.82.00.01.2
GA total213134
GA avg1.00.30.60.31.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePeña DeportivaMercadal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%60%40%
1.560%0%60%20%
2.520%0%0%20%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPeña DeportivaMercadal
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricPeña DeportivaMercadal
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPeña DeportivaMercadal
Wins21
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-0
Biggest losses1-03-0
Goals For4220
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricPeña DeportivaMercadal
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Peña Deportiva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.45 @ Marathonbet
Away7.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Peña Deportiva = 2.63 (league 1.71), Mercadal = 1.05 (league 1.15)

Mercadal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peña Deportiva 0 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1