Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 10:30 •
Nou Camp de Inca
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.60)
0.44 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0% | 19.9% | 7.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.6%
2 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mercadal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Constància | 0 | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Constància | Mercadal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 45% |
| Defense | 45% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Constància | Mercadal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 25% | 63% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 38% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Constància: WDWLWLWL • Mercadal: WLWDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Constància | Mercadal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Constància | Mercadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 75% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 38% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Constància | Mercadal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Constància | Mercadal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Constància | Mercadal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Constància | Mercadal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Constància or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Constància = 1.87 (league 1.60), Mercadal = 0.44 (league 1.14)
| Mercadal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Constància | 0 | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 7.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1