Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio San Martì
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.60) 0.48 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 37.7% 19.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.6%
1 - 0
22.5%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Llosetense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mercadal 0 25.6% 12.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.5% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMercadalLlosetense
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack71%100%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mercadal Llosetense
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%33%55%50%60%55%
Draws0%17%9%50%20%36%
Loses20%50%36%0%20%9%

Form: Mercadal: WLWDWLWWWLL • Llosetense: WLWWDWWDDWD

League goals

Metric Mercadal Llosetense
HATHAT
GF total75129716
GF avg1.40.81.11.51.41.5
GA total279358
GA avg0.41.20.80.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMercadalLlosetense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%45%73%27%
1.536%27%45%18%
2.50%9%27%9%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMercadalLlosetense
HATHAT
Clean sheets336448
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricMercadalLlosetense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMercadalLlosetense
Wins32
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-0—5-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against1325

Model comparison

MetricMercadalLlosetense
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h40%60%
Goals53%47%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Llosetense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Betano
Away2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mercadal = 0.88 (league 1.60), Llosetense = 0.48 (league 1.15)

Llosetense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mercadal 0 25.6% 12.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.5% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 37.7% · Away win 19.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1