Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.59) 0.79 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 36.4% 33.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.9%
0 - 1
17.2%
1 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Llosetense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Formentera 0 21.9% 17.2% 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 12.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFormenteraLlosetense
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack36%21%
Defense79%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Formentera Llosetense
HATHAT
Played88167815
Wins25%38%31%43%38%40%
Draws38%38%38%43%25%33%
Loses38%25%31%14%38%27%

Form: Formentera: DDDLWDDWDLLWLWLW • Llosetense: WLWWDWWDDWDDLLL

League goals

Metric Formentera Llosetense
HATHAT
GF total791610818
GF avg0.91.11.01.41.01.2
GA total781571017
GA avg0.91.00.91.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFormenteraLlosetense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%63%67%40%
1.531%25%33%33%
2.50%6%20%20%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFormenteraLlosetense
HATHAT
Clean sheets336459
Failed to score415145

Penalties

MetricFormenteraLlosetense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFormenteraLlosetense
Wins12
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-11-45-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricFormenteraLlosetense
Form82%18%
Att63%38%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total68.3%31.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Formentera or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Betano
Draw3.09 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.59 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Formentera = 0.73 (league 1.59), Llosetense = 0.79 (league 1.15)

Llosetense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Formentera 0 21.9% 17.2% 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 12.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 36.4% · Away win 33.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1