Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:15 • Estadio Municipal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.55) 0.55 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 32.1% 17.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.2%
0 - 0
18.7%
2 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Collerense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Formentera 0 18.7% 10.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 11.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFormenteraCollerense
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack22%17%
Defense89%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Formentera Collerense
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins25%33%29%15%0%8%
Draws50%33%42%31%36%33%
Loses25%33%29%54%64%58%

Form: Formentera: DDDLWDDWDLLWLWLWDDLDLWDW • Collerense: DWLLDLLDLLLDLDLDDLDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Formentera Collerense
HATHAT
GF total91322161026
GF avg0.81.10.91.20.91.1
GA total81220232447
GA avg0.71.00.81.82.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFormenteraCollerense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%58%63%88%
1.525%21%25%54%
2.50%4%17%33%
3.50%0%4%17%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFormenteraCollerense
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410213
Failed to score628459

Penalties

MetricFormenteraCollerense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFormenteraCollerense
Wins11
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-1—
Biggest losses0-13-10-54-1
Goals For2243
Goals Against2354

Model comparison

MetricFormenteraCollerense
Form73%27%
Att57%43%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Formentera or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away6.63 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Formentera = 1.13 (league 1.55), Collerense = 0.55 (league 1.16)

Collerense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Formentera 0 18.7% 10.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 11.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 17.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1