Sun, Apr 26 2026 ā¢ 10:00 ā¢
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.56)
0.56 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.6% | 29.7% | 16.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| SantanyĆ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portmany | 0 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Portmany -9.6, SantanyĆ -8.2.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Portmany
vs
SantanyĆ
Elo gapPortmany +10
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo2855.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2855.8
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Portmany | SantanyĆ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1415.4 | 1440.4 |
| Form Elo | 1408.6 | 1433.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1467.6 | 1447.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1383.4 | 1446.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1455.7 | 1402.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -9.6 | -8.2 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Portmany last-5 Elo change: -9.6; SantanyĆ last-5 Elo change: -8.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Portmany | SantanyĆ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 41% |
| Defense | 35% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Portmany | SantanyĆ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 19% | 26% | 50% | 13% | 32% |
| Draws | 27% | 6% | 16% | 19% | 27% | 23% |
| Loses | 40% | 75% | 58% | 31% | 60% | 45% |
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League goals
| Metric | Portmany | SantanyĆ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 10 | 39 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 33 | 46 | 21 | 33 | 54 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Portmany | SantanyĆ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 84% | 65% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 42% | 35% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 13% | 19% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Portmany | SantanyĆ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Portmany | SantanyĆ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Portmany | SantanyĆ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 9-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Portmany | SantanyĆ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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