Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.57)
5.35 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 8.3% | 36.0% |
best score tips
2 - 5
4.4%
2 - 4
4.1%
3 - 5
3.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mensajero | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mensajero | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Mensajero: WLL • Marino: LWW
League goals
| Metric | Mensajero | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mensajero | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mensajero | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mensajero | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mensajero | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mensajero | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 41.8% | 58.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Marino
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mensajero = 2.55 (league 1.57), Marino = 5.35 (league 0.95)
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.7% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 36.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1