Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:30 •
Ciudad Deportiva de Lanzarote
Expected Goals
4.62 (league 1.63)
2.67 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% |
best score tips
4 - 2
4.6%
5 - 2
4.3%
4 - 3
4.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lanzarote | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lanzarote | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 75% | 50% |
| Attack | 53% | 40% |
| Defense | 73% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lanzarote | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Lanzarote: WLWW • Marino: LWWL
League goals
| Metric | Lanzarote | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lanzarote | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lanzarote | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lanzarote | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lanzarote | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lanzarote | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Lanzarote or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lanzarote = 4.62 (league 1.63), Marino = 2.67 (league 0.94)
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lanzarote | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 13.8%
vtt 2 , vtd1