Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Pablo Hernández Morales
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.51)
0.79 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.7% | 35.1% | 31.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.9%
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 1
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Telde | 0 | 19.9% | 15.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Telde | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 8% | 50% |
| Attack | 7% | 43% |
| Defense | 43% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Telde | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Telde: DLLL • Mensajero: WLLW
League goals
| Metric | Telde | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Telde | Mensajero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Telde | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Telde | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Telde | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Telde | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 14% | 86% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 30.5% | 69.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Mensajero
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Telde = 0.83 (league 1.51), Mensajero = 0.79 (league 0.95)
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Telde | 0 | 19.9% | 15.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 31.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1