Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.58)
1.58 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.6% | 25.3% | 51.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Panadería Pulido | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 8.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mensajero | Panadería Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 35% | 35% |
| Defense | 59% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mensajero | Panadería Pulido | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Mensajero: WLLWD • Panadería Pulido: WWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Mensajero | Panadería Pulido | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mensajero | Panadería Pulido | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mensajero | Panadería Pulido | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mensajero | Panadería Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mensajero | Panadería Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mensajero | Panadería Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Panadería Pulido
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mensajero = 0.95 (league 1.58), Panadería Pulido = 1.58 (league 0.95)
| Panadería Pulido | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 8.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.6% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 51.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1