Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.51)
0.10 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.7% | 42.8% | 4.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
39.3%
1 - 0
32.6%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Telde | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino | 0 | 39.3% | 4.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.6% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marino | Telde |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 41% | 6% |
| Defense | 53% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marino | Telde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Marino: LWWLL • Telde: DLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Marino | Telde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marino | Telde | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 20% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 0% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marino | Telde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marino | Telde |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marino | Telde |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 2-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marino | Telde |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 88% | 13% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Marino or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marino = 0.83 (league 1.51), Telde = 0.10 (league 0.95)
| Telde | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino | 0 | 39.3% | 4.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.6% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.7% · Draw 42.8% · Away win 4.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1