Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:00 •
Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.51)
2.10 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.6% | 21.0% | 48.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Panadería Pulido | 0 | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 27% | 73% |
| Defense | 73% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Panadería Pulido: WWDWLL • Marino: LWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Panadería Pulido | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Marino
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Panadería Pulido = 1.53 (league 1.51), Marino = 2.10 (league 0.95)
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Panadería Pulido | 0 | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 48.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1