Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 10:15 • Anexo Gran Canaria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.39 (league 1.51) 0.31 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.9% 5.9% 1.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
14.2%
4 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mensajero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas III 0 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.0% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.5% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLas Palmas IIIMensajero
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack88%38%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Las Palmas III Mensajero
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%0%33%100%0%50%
Draws0%33%17%0%33%17%
Loses33%67%50%0%67%33%

Form: Las Palmas III: LLWLWD • Mensajero: WLLWDW

League goals

Metric Las Palmas III Mensajero
HATHAT
GF total9514718
GF avg3.01.72.32.30.31.3
GA total3710257
GA avg1.02.31.70.71.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLas Palmas IIIMensajero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%50%
1.550%33%50%33%
2.550%17%17%17%
3.533%17%0%17%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLas Palmas IIIMensajero
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricLas Palmas IIIMensajero
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLas Palmas IIIMensajero
Wins11
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-0
Biggest losses0-12-14-1
Goals For6431
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricLas Palmas IIIMensajero
Form50%50%
Att70%30%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h0%100%
Goals31%69%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Winner : Las Palmas III

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Las Palmas III = 3.39 (league 1.51), Mensajero = 0.31 (league 0.95)

Mensajero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Palmas III 0 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.0% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.5% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.9% · Draw 5.9% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1