Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Antonio DomÃnguez Alfonso
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.57)
0.53 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.0% | 13.8% | 6.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Las Palmas III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino | 0 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marino | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 67% | 100% |
| Defense | 53% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marino | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: Marino: LWWLLWD • Las Palmas III: LLWLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Marino | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 1 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marino | Las Palmas III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 71% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 57% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marino | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marino | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marino | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 6-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marino | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 58.2% | 42.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Marino or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marino = 2.49 (league 1.57), Las Palmas III = 0.53 (league 0.95)
| Las Palmas III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino | 0 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.0% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 6.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1