Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.57)
0.22 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2% | 25.0% | 5.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.2%
2 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
18.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Herbania | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 18.6% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.2% | 6.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.9% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mensajero | Herbania |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 47% | 53% |
| Defense | 53% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mensajero | Herbania | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 43% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 29% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: Mensajero: WLLWDWD • Herbania: DLWLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Mensajero | Herbania | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mensajero | Herbania | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 29% | 57% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mensajero | Herbania | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mensajero | Herbania |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mensajero | Herbania |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 3-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mensajero | Herbania |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 64.2% | 35.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Mensajero or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mensajero = 1.46 (league 1.57), Herbania = 0.22 (league 0.95)
| Herbania | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 18.6% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.2% | 6.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.9% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 5.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1