Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Municipal de Los Pozos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.26 (league 1.63) 4.92 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 10.8% 31.0%
best score tips
3 - 4
4.0%
3 - 5
3.9%
2 - 4
3.6%
Score & goals probability table
Marino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herbania 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7%
1 0.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2%
2 0.1% 0.7% 1.8% 3.0% 3.6% 3.6%
3 0.2% 0.8% 2.0% 3.2% 4.0% 3.9%
4 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.2%
5 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerbaniaMarino
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack50%64%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Herbania Marino
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%50%25%38%
Draws50%0%25%0%25%13%
Loses25%75%50%50%50%50%

Form: Herbania: DLWLDWLL • Marino: LWWLLWDL

League goals

Metric Herbania Marino
HATHAT
GF total92115813
GF avg2.30.51.41.32.01.6
GA total98172911
GA avg2.32.02.10.52.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerbaniaMarino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%75%75%
1.550%63%50%50%
2.513%25%25%13%
3.50%25%13%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerbaniaMarino
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score022202

Penalties

MetricHerbaniaMarino
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHerbaniaMarino
Wins12
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-02-3
Biggest losses3-45-10-13-2
Goals For3143
Goals Against4513

Model comparison

MetricHerbaniaMarino
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marino and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Herbania = 3.26 (league 1.63), Marino = 4.92 (league 0.94)

Marino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herbania 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7%
1 0.1% 0.5% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2%
2 0.1% 0.7% 1.8% 3.0% 3.6% 3.6%
3 0.2% 0.8% 2.0% 3.2% 4.0% 3.9%
4 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.2%
5 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 31.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1