Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 11:00 •
Complejo Deportivo Municipal Manuel Pablo
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.58)
1.09 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.9% | 33.2% | 50.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.8%
0 - 0
20.9%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Unión Sur Yaiza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arucas | 0 | 20.9% | 22.8% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arucas | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 11% | 53% |
| Defense | 79% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arucas | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 22% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 0% | 60% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 44% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Arucas: DLLWDLDWL • Unión Sur Yaiza: WWLWDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Arucas | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arucas | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 56% | 67% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 22% | 44% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arucas | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arucas | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arucas | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arucas | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 33.3% | 66.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Unión Sur Yaiza and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arucas = 0.47 (league 1.58), Unión Sur Yaiza = 1.09 (league 0.95)
| Unión Sur Yaiza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arucas | 0 | 20.9% | 22.8% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 50.8%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1