Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.59)
0.42 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.4% | 13.1% | 4.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.0%
3 - 0
13.9%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Unión de Tenerife | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mensajero | Real Unión de Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 85% | 46% |
| Defense | 62% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mensajero | Real Unión de Tenerife | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 44% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 60% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 0% | 75% | 33% |
Form: Mensajero: WLLWDWDWD • Real Unión de Tenerife: WLWLDWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Mensajero | Real Unión de Tenerife | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mensajero | Real Unión de Tenerife | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 44% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 33% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 22% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mensajero | Real Unión de Tenerife | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mensajero | Real Unión de Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mensajero | Real Unión de Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mensajero | Real Unión de Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.3% | 40.0% |
Advice: Winner : Mensajero
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mensajero = 2.46 (league 1.59), Real Unión de Tenerife = 0.42 (league 0.95)
| Real Unión de Tenerife | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.4% · Draw 13.1% · Away win 4.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1