Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Municipal Eleuterio Valerón
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.62)
0.54 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.9% | 14.0% | 6.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| San Miguel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 62% | 46% |
| Defense | 23% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 20% | 44% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 75% | 56% |
Form: UD San Fernando: WWDWDLLWL • San Miguel: DLLWLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD San Fernando | San Miguel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 56% | 78% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 33% | 33% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 22% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 66.5% | 33.5% |
Advice: Double chance : UD San Fernando or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD San Fernando = 2.47 (league 1.62), San Miguel = 0.54 (league 0.93)
| San Miguel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.9% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 6.1%
vtt 4 , vtd1