Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Virgen de Las Nieves
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.58)
0.64 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8% | 16.6% | 8.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 0
12.3%
3 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tenisca | 0 | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.1% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tenisca | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tenisca | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 20% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 60% | 30% |
| Loses | 20% | 100% | 60% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: Tenisca: LWLLDLDLWL • Mensajero: WLLWDWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Tenisca | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tenisca | Mensajero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 60% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tenisca | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tenisca | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tenisca | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | — | 5-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tenisca | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Mensajero
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tenisca = 2.28 (league 1.58), Mensajero = 0.64 (league 0.94)
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tenisca | 0 | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.1% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 8.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1