Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.63)
0.77 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.0% | 37.3% | 33.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.2%
0 - 1
17.9%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Paso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 23.2% | 17.9% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mensajero | Atlético Paso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 67% |
| Attack | 87% | 53% |
| Defense | 67% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mensajero | Atlético Paso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 100% | 17% | 55% | 67% | 60% | 64% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 27% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
Form: Mensajero: WLLWDWDWDWW • Atlético Paso: DWWLWWWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Mensajero | Atlético Paso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 7 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mensajero | Atlético Paso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 55% | 82% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 27% | 36% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 18% | 36% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mensajero | Atlético Paso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mensajero | Atlético Paso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mensajero | Atlético Paso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mensajero | Atlético Paso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético Paso
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mensajero = 0.69 (league 1.63), Atlético Paso = 0.77 (league 0.94)
| Atlético Paso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 23.2% | 17.9% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 33.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1