Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Municipal Eleuterio Valerón
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.59)
0.26 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.0% | 19.3% | 4.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.8%
2 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Villa Santa Brígida | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.8% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.7% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Villa Santa Brígida |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 53% | 40% |
| Defense | 53% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Villa Santa Brígida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 33% | 55% | 100% | 0% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 18% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 27% | 0% | 80% | 36% |
Form: UD San Fernando: WWDWDLLWLWW • Villa Santa Brígida: LWLWDWLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Villa Santa Brígida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD San Fernando | Villa Santa Brígida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 45% | 82% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 18% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Villa Santa Brígida | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Villa Santa Brígida |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Villa Santa Brígida |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Villa Santa Brígida |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Advice: Double chance : UD San Fernando or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD San Fernando = 1.81 (league 1.59), Villa Santa Brígida = 0.26 (league 0.92)
| Villa Santa Brígida | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.8% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.7% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.0% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 4.7%
vtt 2 , vtd1