Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 16:30 •
Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.63)
0.75 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6% | 17.8% | 10.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Unión Sur Yaiza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 25% | 13% |
| Defense | 56% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 86% | 11% | 44% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 14% | 44% | 31% | 22% | 29% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 44% | 25% | 44% | 43% | 44% |
Form: Mensajero: WLLWDWDWDWWDDLWL • Unión Sur Yaiza: WWLWDLWDWDLLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 7 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 14 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 56% | 56% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 31% | 25% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mensajero | Unión Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 65.2% | 35.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Mensajero or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mensajero = 2.24 (league 1.63), Unión Sur Yaiza = 0.75 (league 0.94)
| Unión Sur Yaiza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.6% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 10.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1