Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Antonio DomÃnguez Alfonso
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.58)
0.39 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.3% | 12.3% | 4.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.3%
3 - 0
14.5%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| San Miguel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino | 0 | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.5% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 53% | 27% |
| Defense | 67% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 71% | 13% | 40% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 27% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Loses | 29% | 38% | 33% | 38% | 71% | 53% |
Form: Marino: LWWLLWDLDWDWLDW • San Miguel: DLLWLDLLWLLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marino | San Miguel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 67% | 73% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 40% | 20% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 71.8% | 28.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Marino or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marino = 2.52 (league 1.58), San Miguel = 0.39 (league 0.92)
| San Miguel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino | 0 | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.5% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.3% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 4.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1