Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Antonio DomÃnguez Alfonso
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.58)
0.42 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.6% | 14.1% | 5.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.3%
1 - 0
14.6%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| San Miguel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino | 0 | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 38% |
| Defense | 25% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 14% | 38% | 29% | 0% | 15% |
| Draws | 0% | 43% | 23% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 33% | 43% | 38% | 43% | 67% | 54% |
Form: Marino: LWWLLWDLDWDWL • San Miguel: DLLWLDLLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marino | San Miguel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | 23% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 15% | 8% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marino | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 68.2% | 31.8% |
Advice: Winner : Marino
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marino = 2.36 (league 1.58), San Miguel = 0.42 (league 0.95)
| San Miguel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino | 0 | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.6% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 5.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1