Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Municipal Eleuterio Valerón
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.58)
0.44 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7% | 17.7% | 6.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.5%
1 - 0
17.1%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lanzarote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 47% | 67% |
| Defense | 73% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 75% | 25% | 50% | 89% | 14% | 56% |
| Draws | 13% | 25% | 19% | 11% | 29% | 19% |
| Loses | 13% | 50% | 31% | 0% | 57% | 25% |
Form: UD San Fernando: WWDWDLLWLWWWLDLW • Lanzarote: WLWWWDWDWLDLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 50% | 81% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 25% | 56% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 31% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 6% | 19% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 90% | 10% |
| Total | 61.6% | 38.4% |
Advice: Double chance : UD San Fernando or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD San Fernando = 2.04 (league 1.58), Lanzarote = 0.44 (league 0.92)
| Lanzarote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.7% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 6.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1