Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Municipal Eleuterio Valerón
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.58)
0.63 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8% | 19.1% | 10.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.4%
1 - 0
14.1%
3 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lanzarote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 63% | 63% |
| Defense | 25% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 83% | 29% | 54% | 86% | 17% | 54% |
| Draws | 0% | 29% | 15% | 14% | 33% | 23% |
| Loses | 17% | 43% | 31% | 0% | 50% | 23% |
Form: UD San Fernando: WWDWDLLWLWWWL • Lanzarote: WLWWWDWDWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 54% | 85% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 31% | 54% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 15% | 23% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 90% | 10% |
| Total | 65.2% | 34.8% |
Advice: Double chance : UD San Fernando or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD San Fernando = 2.04 (league 1.58), Lanzarote = 0.63 (league 0.95)
| Lanzarote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.8% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 10.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1