Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Yaiza
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.58)
1.47 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.2% | 23.7% | 34.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 31% | 77% |
| Defense | 62% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 43% | 33% | 38% | 67% | 14% | 38% |
| Draws | 14% | 33% | 23% | 0% | 43% | 23% |
| Loses | 43% | 33% | 38% | 33% | 43% | 38% |
Form: Unión Sur Yaiza: WWLWDLWDWDLLL • Marino: LWWLLWDLDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Unión Sur Yaiza | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 69% | 69% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 23% | 54% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 15% | 31% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Unión Sur Yaiza or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Unión Sur Yaiza = 1.64 (league 1.58), Marino = 1.47 (league 0.95)
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 34.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1