Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 12:00 •
Estadio Municipal Eleuterio Valerón
Expected Goals
3.29 (league 1.58)
0.58 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.3%
4 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| San Bartolomé | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Bartolomé |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 42% | 42% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Bartolomé | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 83% | 29% | 54% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 0% | 29% | 15% | 0% | 14% | 8% |
| Loses | 17% | 43% | 31% | 67% | 57% | 62% |
Form: UD San Fernando: WWDWDLLWLWWWL • San Bartolomé: LLWLLLLWLLWWD
League goals
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Bartolomé | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD San Fernando | San Bartolomé | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 54% | 62% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 31% | 23% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 15% | 8% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Bartolomé | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Bartolomé |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Bartolomé |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD San Fernando | San Bartolomé |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 55.4% | 44.6% |
Advice: Winner : UD San Fernando
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD San Fernando = 3.29 (league 1.58), San Bartolomé = 0.58 (league 0.95)
| San Bartolomé | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.5% · Draw 8.4% · Away win 3.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1