Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 12:30 •
Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.63)
1.28 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1% | 29.4% | 53.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 0
15.4%
0 - 2
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Bartolomé | 0 | 15.4% | 19.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Bartolomé | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 20% | 70% |
| Defense | 30% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Bartolomé | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 25% | 22% | 24% | 88% | 11% | 47% |
| Draws | 13% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 44% | 29% |
| Loses | 63% | 56% | 59% | 0% | 44% | 24% |
Form: San Bartolomé: LLWLLLLWLLWWDDLLD • Mensajero: WLLWDWDWDWWDDLWLW
League goals
| Metric | San Bartolomé | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 7 | 28 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 23 | 35 | 5 | 14 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Bartolomé | Mensajero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 76% | 65% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 53% | 53% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 35% | 29% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 12% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Bartolomé | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Bartolomé | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Bartolomé | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 7-1 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Bartolomé | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Mensajero
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): San Bartolomé = 0.59 (league 1.63), Mensajero = 1.28 (league 0.94)
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Bartolomé | 0 | 15.4% | 19.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 53.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1