Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Municipal Eleuterio Valerón
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.58)
0.56 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9% | 21.4% | 10.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 43% |
| Defense | 86% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 80% | 36% | 57% | 45% | 27% | 36% |
| Draws | 10% | 27% | 19% | 18% | 45% | 32% |
| Loses | 10% | 36% | 24% | 36% | 27% | 32% |
Form: UD San Fernando: WWDWDLLWLWWWLDLWWWDWW • Marino: LWWLLWDLDWDWLDWLWDWLDD
League goals
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 11 | 29 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 14 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD San Fernando | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 43% | 77% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 24% | 50% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 23% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : UD San Fernando or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD San Fernando = 1.82 (league 1.58), Marino = 0.56 (league 0.92)
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 10.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1