Sun, Jan 18 2026 ā¢ 12:30 ā¢
Estadio Municipal Eleuterio ValerĆ³n
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.61)
0.55 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0% | 17.6% | 8.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.6%
1 - 0
14.7%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 70% | 80% |
| Defense | 70% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 78% | 25% | 53% | 63% | 22% | 41% |
| Draws | 11% | 25% | 18% | 0% | 44% | 24% |
| Loses | 11% | 50% | 29% | 38% | 33% | 35% |
Form: UD San Fernando: WWDWDLLWLWWWLDLWW ā¢ Marino: LWWLLWDLDWDWLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 7 | 24 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD San Fernando | Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 47% | 76% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 24% | 53% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 12% | 29% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 6% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Advice: Double chance : UD San Fernando or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): UD San Fernando = 2.12 (league 1.61), Marino = 0.55 (league 0.93)
| Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.0% Ā· Draw 17.6% Ā· Away win 8.3%
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