Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Yaiza
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.62)
2.00 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.1% | 21.6% | 47.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Las Palmas III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 47% |
| Attack | 12% | 65% |
| Defense | 65% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 38% | 29% | 33% | 57% | 38% | 47% |
| Draws | 25% | 29% | 27% | 14% | 25% | 20% |
| Loses | 38% | 43% | 40% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
Form: Unión Sur Yaiza: WWLWDLWDWDLLLDL • Las Palmas III: LLWLWDDWWWDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 73% | 80% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 27% | 47% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 13% | 47% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 33% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 6-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 15% | 85% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 41.5% | 58.8% |
Advice: Winner : Las Palmas III
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Unión Sur Yaiza = 1.52 (league 1.62), Las Palmas III = 2.00 (league 0.95)
| Las Palmas III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 47.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1