Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 12:00 •
Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.63)
0.75 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.2% | 25.9% | 18.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Arucas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Panadería Pulido | 0 | 10.3% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Arucas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 88% |
| Defense | 63% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Arucas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 38% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 30% | 50% | 39% |
| Loses | 38% | 20% | 28% | 30% | 50% | 39% |
Form: Panadería Pulido: WWDWLLDWLLWLWDWWWD • Arucas: DLLWDLDWLDLWWDLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Arucas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 17 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Panadería Pulido | Arucas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 61% | 61% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 28% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 6% | 6% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Arucas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Arucas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Arucas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Arucas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Panadería Pulido or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Panadería Pulido = 1.52 (league 1.63), Arucas = 0.75 (league 0.94)
| Arucas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Panadería Pulido | 0 | 10.3% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 18.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1