Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 12:30 • Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.59) 0.61 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.8% 12.5% 5.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
3 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lanzarote
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mensajero 0 3.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMensajeroLanzarote
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack100%67%
Defense0%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mensajero Lanzarote
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins78%10%42%90%11%53%
Draws22%50%37%10%22%16%
Loses0%40%21%0%67%32%

Form: Mensajero: WLLWDWDWDWWDDLWLWDD • Lanzarote: WLWWWDWDWLDLWWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Mensajero Lanzarote
HATHAT
GF total2272926733
GF avg2.40.71.52.60.81.7
GA total6142051621
GA avg0.71.41.10.51.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMensajeroLanzarote
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%53%74%68%
1.547%26%47%32%
2.526%16%26%11%
3.511%11%16%0%
4.55%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMensajeroLanzarote
HATHAT
Clean sheets549516
Failed to score167055

Penalties

MetricMensajeroLanzarote
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMensajeroLanzarote
Wins23
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-25-00-2
Biggest losses—4-0—3-1
Goals For5353
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricMensajeroLanzarote
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Winner : Mensajero

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.19 @ Pinnacle
Away3.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mensajero = 2.71 (league 1.59), Lanzarote = 0.61 (league 0.92)

Lanzarote
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mensajero 0 3.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.8% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 5.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1