Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Municipal Eleuterio Valerón
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.58)
0.52 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 42.5% | 24.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Panadería Pulido | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 31.1% | 16.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Panadería Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 87% |
| Attack | 46% | 46% |
| Defense | 77% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Panadería Pulido | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 75% | 36% | 57% | 45% | 67% | 57% |
| Draws | 17% | 27% | 22% | 27% | 17% | 22% |
| Loses | 8% | 36% | 22% | 27% | 17% | 22% |
Form: UD San Fernando: WWDWDLLWLWWWLDLWWWDWWDW • Panadería Pulido: WWDWLLDWLLWLWDWWWDWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Panadería Pulido | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 11 | 31 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 14 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD San Fernando | Panadería Pulido | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 43% | 87% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 22% | 43% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 26% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Panadería Pulido | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Panadería Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Panadería Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Panadería Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.2% | 51.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Panadería Pulido and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD San Fernando = 0.64 (league 1.58), Panadería Pulido = 0.52 (league 0.92)
| Panadería Pulido | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD San Fernando | 0 | 31.1% | 16.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.6% · Draw 42.5% · Away win 24.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1