Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 12:00 •
Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.50)
0.79 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.8% | 27.5% | 21.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Panadería Pulido | 0 | 11.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 73% |
| Attack | 70% | 60% |
| Defense | 90% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 40% | 64% | 52% | 82% | 18% | 50% |
| Draws | 30% | 18% | 24% | 18% | 45% | 32% |
| Loses | 30% | 18% | 24% | 0% | 36% | 18% |
Panadería PulidoWWDWLLDWLLWLWDWWWDWDW
MensajeroWLLWDWDWDWWDDLWLWDDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 18 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Panadería Pulido | Mensajero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 52% | 68% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 29% | 45% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 5% | 27% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Panadería Pulido | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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