Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 12:00 • Estadio Pablo Hernández Morales
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.58) 1.37 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 26.2% 39.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lanzarote
0 1 2 3 4 5
Telde 0 7.2% 10.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.1% 12.5% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.7% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTeldeLanzarote
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack27%20%
Defense33%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Telde Lanzarote
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%0%9%75%9%43%
Draws45%25%35%17%27%22%
Loses36%75%57%8%64%35%

Form: Telde: DLLLDLLLLWLDLDDWLDLDLLD • Lanzarote: WLWWWDWDWLDLWWWLLLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Telde Lanzarote
HATHAT
GF total1251727835
GF avg1.10.40.72.30.71.5
GA total20305072027
GA avg1.82.52.20.61.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTeldeLanzarote
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%87%70%74%
1.522%61%39%30%
2.54%35%22%13%
3.50%17%13%0%
4.50%13%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTeldeLanzarote
HATHAT
Clean sheets213516
Failed to score4812167

Penalties

MetricTeldeLanzarote
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricTeldeLanzarote
Wins13
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—5-00-2
Biggest losses2-65-00-13-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against6513

Model comparison

MetricTeldeLanzarote
Form29%71%
Att57%43%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total43.0%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lanzarote

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.41 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Telde = 1.25 (league 1.58), Lanzarote = 1.37 (league 0.92)

Lanzarote
0 1 2 3 4 5
Telde 0 7.2% 10.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.1% 12.5% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.7% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 39.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1