Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Yaiza
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.59)
1.30 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.2% | 27.3% | 40.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| San Miguel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 8.7% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 42% |
| Defense | 42% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 33% | 18% | 26% | 25% | 18% | 22% |
| Draws | 17% | 18% | 17% | 42% | 27% | 35% |
| Loses | 50% | 64% | 57% | 33% | 55% | 43% |
Form: Unión Sur Yaiza: WWLWDLWDWDLLLDLLLLLLLWL • San Miguel: DLLWLDLLWLLDDDLWWDLDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 7 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Unión Sur Yaiza | San Miguel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 78% | 74% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 35% | 22% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 22% | 9% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | San Miguel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 46.4% | 53.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Unión Sur Yaiza or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Unión Sur Yaiza = 1.13 (league 1.59), San Miguel = 1.30 (league 0.93)
| San Miguel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 8.7% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.2% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 40.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1