Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 12:30 •
Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.59)
0.87 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9% | 16.9% | 11.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Las Palmas III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mensajero | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 73% | 55% |
| Defense | 64% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mensajero | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 82% | 17% | 48% | 45% | 33% | 39% |
| Draws | 18% | 42% | 30% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| Loses | 0% | 42% | 22% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
Form: Mensajero: WLLWDWDWDWWDDLWLWDDWWWL • Las Palmas III: LLWLWDDWWWDWLWLLDWWDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Mensajero | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 10 | 36 | 24 | 19 | 43 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 17 | 23 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mensajero | Las Palmas III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 48% | 78% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 26% | 39% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 17% | 30% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 22% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mensajero | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mensajero | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mensajero | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 6-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mensajero | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 68.8% | 31.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Mensajero or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mensajero = 2.41 (league 1.59), Las Palmas III = 0.87 (league 0.92)
| Las Palmas III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 11.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1