Sun, Mar 15 2026 ā¢ 12:00 ā¢
Estadio Silvestre Carrillo
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.58)
0.72 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3% | 20.4% | 12.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Tamaraceite | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mensajero | Tamaraceite |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 14% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mensajero | Tamaraceite | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 83% | 15% | 48% | 67% | 54% | 60% |
| Draws | 17% | 46% | 32% | 25% | 0% | 12% |
| Loses | 0% | 38% | 20% | 8% | 46% | 28% |
Form: Mensajero: WLLWDWDWDWWDDLWLWDDWWWLWD ā¢ Tamaraceite: DWWLDWWLDLWWWLWLWLWWWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Mensajero | Tamaraceite | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 12 | 41 | 23 | 14 | 37 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 19 | 26 | 6 | 17 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mensajero | Tamaraceite | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 52% | 72% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 28% | 48% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 16% | 24% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mensajero | Tamaraceite | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mensajero | Tamaraceite |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mensajero | Tamaraceite |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | ā | 4-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mensajero | Tamaraceite |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Mensajero or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Mensajero = 1.97 (league 1.58), Tamaraceite = 0.72 (league 0.92)
| Tamaraceite | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mensajero | 0 | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% Ā· Draw 20.4% Ā· Away win 12.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1