Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.51)
0.61 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.6% | 24.7% | 14.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
14.0%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Arucas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tenerife C | 0 | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Tenerife C carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 132 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Tenerife C -33.2, Arucas -26.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Tenerife C
vs
Arucas
Elo gapTenerife C +132
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo2941
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2941
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Tenerife C | Arucas |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1518.8 | 1422.2 |
| Form Elo | 1492.5 | 1409.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1495.5 | 1446.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1537.6 | 1416.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1489 | 1479.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -33.2 | -26.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Tenerife C last-5 Elo change: -33.2; Arucas last-5 Elo change: -26.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tenerife C | Arucas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 13% |
| Attack | 44% | 33% |
| Defense | 11% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tenerife C | Arucas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 53% | 38% | 45% | 38% | 0% | 19% |
| Draws | 20% | 38% | 29% | 31% | 40% | 35% |
| Loses | 27% | 25% | 26% | 31% | 60% | 45% |
Tenerife CLWLWWDWWDWDDWDWWWWDLWLWWLLDLLDD
ArucasDLLWDLDWLDLWWDLLDDLDDLLWLWLLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Tenerife C | Arucas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 25 | 48 | 21 | 7 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 18 | 21 | 39 | 20 | 24 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tenerife C | Arucas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 71% | 61% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 39% | 23% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 13% | 6% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tenerife C | Arucas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tenerife C | Arucas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tenerife C | Arucas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-6 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tenerife C | Arucas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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