Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio El Limonar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.29) 1.42 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.1% 24.4% 34.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Muleño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santomera 0 5.1% 7.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.9% 11.3% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantomeraMuleño
Played33
Form11%33%
Attack13%13%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 25 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santomera Muleño
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%67%50%100%67%

Form: Santomera: LLD • Muleño: LLW

League goals

Metric Santomera Muleño
HATHAT
GF total112202
GF avg1.00.50.71.00.00.7
GA total246325
GA avg2.02.02.01.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantomeraMuleño
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%67%
1.50%67%0%67%
2.50%33%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantomeraMuleño
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricSantomeraMuleño
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSantomeraMuleño
Wins00
Draws00
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0
Biggest losses1-23-01-32-0
Goals For1110
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricSantomeraMuleño
Form25%75%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total42.6%57.4%

Advice: Double chance : Santomera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santomera = 1.55 (league 1.29), Muleño = 1.42 (league 0.98)

Muleño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santomera 0 5.1% 7.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.9% 11.3% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 34.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1