Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio Antonio Martínez El Morao
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.29)
0.51 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.3% | 44.3% | 25.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.6%
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Unión Molinense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Caravaca | 0 | 33.6% | 17.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Unión Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 56% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Unión Molinense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: UD Caravaca: LWDL • Unión Molinense: WLDL
League goals
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Unión Molinense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Caravaca | Unión Molinense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Unión Molinense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Unión Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Unión Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Unión Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : UD Caravaca or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Caravaca = 0.58 (league 1.29), Unión Molinense = 0.51 (league 0.98)
| Unión Molinense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Caravaca | 0 | 33.6% | 17.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 44.3% · Away win 25.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1