Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 •
Complejo Deportivo Mazarrón
Expected Goals
3.49 (league 1.29)
0.51 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.5% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.0%
4 - 0
11.3%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| El Palmar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bala Azul | 0 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.0% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bala Azul | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 8% |
| Attack | 44% | 33% |
| Defense | 78% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bala Azul | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Bala Azul: WLDD • El Palmar: LLLD
League goals
| Metric | Bala Azul | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bala Azul | El Palmar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bala Azul | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bala Azul | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bala Azul | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bala Azul | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Advice: Winner : Bala Azul
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bala Azul = 3.49 (league 1.29), El Palmar = 0.51 (league 0.98)
| El Palmar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bala Azul | 0 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.0% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.5% · Draw 6.8% · Away win 2.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1