Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Llano de Brujas
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.29)
0.41 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6% | 24.5% | 9.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.9%
2 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Muleño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 14.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.0% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Muleño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 27% |
| Attack | 70% | 20% |
| Defense | 70% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Muleño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 80% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Santa Cruz: DWWWW • Muleño: LLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Muleño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Cruz | Muleño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Muleño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Muleño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Muleño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Muleño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76% | 24% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 73.7% | 26.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Cruz or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Cruz = 1.55 (league 1.29), Muleño = 0.41 (league 0.98)
| Muleño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 14.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.0% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.6% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 9.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1