Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Llano de Brujas
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.29)
1.32 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.1% | 28.0% | 45.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Unión Molinense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 10.6% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Unión Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 25% |
| Defense | 67% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Unión Molinense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Santa Cruz: DWWWWD • Unión Molinense: WLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Unión Molinense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Cruz | Unión Molinense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 50% | 50% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Unión Molinense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Unión Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Unión Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Unión Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76% | 24% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Santa Cruz or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Cruz = 0.92 (league 1.29), Unión Molinense = 1.32 (league 0.98)
| Unión Molinense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 10.6% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.1% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 45.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1