Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Llano de Brujas
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.27)
1.28 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.2% | 21.3% | 23.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| El Palmar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Cruz | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 57% |
| Defense | 64% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Cruz | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 75% | 63% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 13% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Santa Cruz: DWWWWDLW • El Palmar: LLLDDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Santa Cruz | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Cruz | El Palmar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 63% | 88% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Cruz | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Cruz | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Cruz | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Cruz | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Santa Cruz or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Cruz = 2.04 (league 1.27), El Palmar = 1.28 (league 1.01)
| El Palmar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 23.5%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1