Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.29)
1.29 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.8% | 29.0% | 61.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
26.0%
0 - 0
20.1%
0 - 2
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Cruz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazarrón FC | 0 | 20.1% | 26.0% | 16.8% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 24% | 29% |
| Defense | 65% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santa Cruz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 40% | 22% | 40% | 75% | 56% |
| Draws | 75% | 40% | 56% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
Form: Mazarrón FC: WLDDLDDDW • Santa Cruz: DWWWWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santa Cruz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mazarrón FC | Santa Cruz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 89% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 22% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santa Cruz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Santa Cruz and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mazarrón FC = 0.31 (league 1.29), Santa Cruz = 1.29 (league 1.00)
| Santa Cruz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazarrón FC | 0 | 20.1% | 26.0% | 16.8% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.8% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 61.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1