Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Antonio Martínez El Morao
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.27)
1.03 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6% | 33.7% | 44.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 0
19.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Pulpileño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Caravaca | 0 | 19.4% | 19.9% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 73% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 31% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Atlético Pulpileño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 10% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 30% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Form: UD Caravaca: LWDLLLLDDL • Atlético Pulpileño: DDLDWWWDDW
League goals
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Atlético Pulpileño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Caravaca | Atlético Pulpileño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 60% | 10% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 30% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Atlético Pulpileño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Caravaca | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 15% | 85% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atlético Pulpileño and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Caravaca = 0.61 (league 1.27), Atlético Pulpileño = 1.03 (league 1.01)
| Atlético Pulpileño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Caravaca | 0 | 19.4% | 19.9% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 44.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1