Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Llano de Brujas
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.27)
0.96 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.3% | 34.8% | 41.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.5%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Pulpileño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 20.5% | 19.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 60% | 60% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Atlético Pulpileño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 17% | 17% | 17% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Loses | 50% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Santa Cruz: DWWWWDLWLLLW • Atlético Pulpileño: DDLDWWWDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Atlético Pulpileño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Cruz | Atlético Pulpileño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Atlético Pulpileño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Advice: No predictions available
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Cruz = 0.63 (league 1.27), Atlético Pulpileño = 0.96 (league 1.00)
| Atlético Pulpileño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 20.5% | 19.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 41.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1